Donald Trump: 'As politics get more volatile, turnout's harder to predict', says pollster

Donald Trump: 'As politics get more volatile, turnout's harder to predict', says pollster

Polling in the election was difficult to predict

Wednesday, November 9, 2016

A leading pollster has said it's getting harder and harder to call elections as politics becomes more volatile.

Several polls predicted a victory for Hillary Clinton last night, but Donald Trump shocked the world by emerging triumphant.

The result follows a similar embarrassment for pollsters in June's UK EU referendum, which ended in victory for the Leave campaign despite all the polls having predicted a triumph for Remain. The 2015 British election also confounded the experts, yielding a Conservative majority rather than the widely expected hung parliament.

Ben Page, the Head of Polling at leading market research company Ipsos Mori, told Julia Hartley-Brewer that “As politics becomes more volatile, you have to make a judgement call on whether people are really going to turn out to vote."